By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)
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PolymarketRegeln
The second question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things
- The full text is: "In 2029, AI will not be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about plot, character, conflicts, motivations, etc. Key will be going beyond the literal text, as Davis and I explain in Rebooting AI."
- Judgment will be by me, not Gary Marcus.
- Ambiguous whether this means start or end of 2029, so I have set it for the end.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2) entschieden?
- By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2) soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The second question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things