If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
KIManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseThere was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. 30.6%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
229
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet22. Feb. 23, 19:11 UTC1. Jan. 00, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves once either of the following are true:
- AI seems about as intelligent as it's ever plausibly going to get.
- There appears to be no more significant danger from AI.
- It resolves to the option that seems closest to the explanation of why we didn't all die.
- If multiple reasons seem like they all significantly contributed, I may resolve to a mix among them.
- If you want to know what option a specific scenario would fall under, describe it to me and we'll figure out what it seems closest to.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason??
- Manifold Markets bewertet There was an alignment breakthrough allowing humanity to successfully build an aligned AI. mit 31% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? entschieden?
- If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? soll am 1. Januar 2200 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves once either of the following are true: