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2. Sept. 23, 22:05 UTC6. Nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many felonies will Trump be convicted of by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Bibi Netanyahu be convicted or admit wrongdoing in any of his trials?
Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegeln
Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.
- But will they actually do so?
- Resolves to N/A if all of Trump's investigations are closed without convictions.
- Resolves yes if Trump has been pardoned by the president by the 2028 election day.
- Resolves no if Trump has not been pardoned by the time.
- If the pardon is challenged by the courts, this will resolve yes regardless.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 68% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) entschieden?
- If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) soll am 6. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.