Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 00:25 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore January 2028 89%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
47
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+5.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
5. Sept. 26, 16:27 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
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KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiRegeln
Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 7, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @ORA9UAlgdI (this market)
