Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 88.1%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
3. Jan. 26, 20:44 UTC31. Dez. 27, 20:44 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- As of late 2025, there is no confirmed release date for ChatGPT-6, and OpenAI has explicitly stated it will not arrive in 2025.
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI releases a product officially named "ChatGPT6" (or any variant like "ChatGPT-6", "ChatGPT 6", etc.) by December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official OpenAI announcements, press releases, or product availability on OpenAI's website or official channels.
- The market resolves NO if no such product is released by the deadline.
- On October 18, 2025, OpenAI officially confirmed that GPT-6 will not ship this year, and the company continues to refine GPT-5 and its reasoning variants while preparing the infrastructure for the next generation.