Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 70.4%
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert19. Mai 24, 21:32 UTC1. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsWill the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketChud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.
- The market will stay open until a media consensus is reached, and be conservative about resolution.
- It may be a long time before it resolves.
- Resolution is delegated to Manifold (the mods if there's no newer system) in the event if it is disputed or not obvious.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8634,7 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 503.290,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7632,6 €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 353.164,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6044,6 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) entschieden?
- Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.