Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"
WirtschaftOne-OffPolitikUS-Politik3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
37
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet9. Jan. 23, 04:33 UTC1. Feb. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
See related market for context: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-president-biden-mint-the-coin
- This market resolves N/A if there is never an actual credible threat of a government shutdown during the Biden administration.
- If there is, and president Biden orders the mint to strike one or more platinum coins of collective denominations high enough to evade the budgetary issues, this market immediately resolves YES as soon as the coin(s) exist(s).
- Should the threat arise and should Biden "mint the coin," this market resolves YES regardless of whether he does so in time to actually avert a government shutdown or not.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", this market resolves NO if the government shuts down for any amount of time.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", and a government shutdown is averted through any other means, this market resolves N/A.
