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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 09:04 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Feb 1 2026 100%Führend unter 13 Optionen
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketGovernment shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
KalshiWill there be a government shutdown before January 2027?
Manifold Markets(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
Manifold MarketsConditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about US government shutdown? [ADD ANSWERS/PROP BETS]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.
- Resolution will be based on whether a shutdown notice is visible on the OPM (Office of Personnel Management) site for at least part of a day.
- If a notice is visible on the OPM site for any portion of a given date, that date will resolve YES.
- Otherwise it will resolve NO.
- A shut down end will be determined by the date on which the funding package required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted.
- The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.