(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
WirtschaftOne-OffUS PoliticsPolitik3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseShutdown 2 46.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert27. Aug. 26, 20:07 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.
- Please read the full description before trading.
- For fairness, and because of the nonstandard mechanism, I will not trade on any market in this Set.
- The reason I made this mechanism is because I noticed that due to the multiplier mechanism other multiplied odds markets tend to have their results N/A, which reverts all trades on the market, this means there is no reward for trading information even if the market does resolve correctly.
- This way all 5 of the markets should always have the same odds, and for one of them trades on it will not revert.
- There is no mechanism to force trading on all 5 markets, which means they can (but shouldn't) separate.
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.548,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.589,4 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 554.348,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.831,6 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 314.662,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.958,8 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.684,1 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 75.958,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Shutdown 2 mit 46% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? entschieden?
- (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.