Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet28. Mai 25, 02:28 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent be directly convicted of a crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if either Chungin Roy Lee or Neel Shanmugam are convicted of a crime in any jurisdiction before 2028.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.566,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.350,6 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6819,5 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 498.593 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6136,1 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? entschieden?
- Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if either Chungin Roy Lee or Neel Shanmugam are convicted of a crime in any jurisdiction before 2028.