By at least 10 years before human-level AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will be as mainstream as global warming is in 2015
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Veraltet29. Jan. 23, 04:08 UTC1. Jan. 99, 00:00 UTC
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10 years before AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will still be less mainstream than global warming was in 2015
Manifold MarketsA government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
Manifold MarketsConditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
Manifold MarketsA full world government will develop before human-level AGI
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