A full world government will develop before human-level AGI

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für A full world government will develop before human-level AGI?

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95.8% (Stand: 20. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird A full world government will develop before human-level AGI entschieden?

A full world government will develop before human-level AGI soll am 1. Januar 2999 entschieden werden.

Wie wird A full world government will develop before human-level AGI abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Copied over from Elicit

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KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 23.8%+15.0pt98.5%
• Above 22.7%98.5%
• Above 24.6%+20.0pt91.5%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

187.179,6 €

24h-Volumen

181.372 €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.3pt51.8%
• Gemini-0.1pt37.6%
• ChatGPT

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+8.4pt78.2%
• Anthropic-8.0pt19.8%
• Meta+0.3pt1%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-1.2pt97%
• October 31+5.7pt81%
• October 24-20.5pt27%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini-2.0pt90%
• Claude-5.0pt9.5%
• MUSE+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.0pt78%
• December 15,76%
• November 30,-4.0pt60%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
• OpenAI market share this week
• Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
• Anthropic share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
• Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) in Oct 20, 2026
• Anthropic market share this week
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?