Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 45.7%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
38
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet20. Mai 26, 15:47 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
2026 Ebola epidemic case count?
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of (suspected) deaths from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).
- https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ituri_Province_Ebola_epidemic
- If the epidemic expands into a pandemic or continues into 2027, the market will be extended as necessary.
- The "Other" category means any deaths total larger than the current buckets.
- I may add more higher buckets from the "Other" category as necessary (if you're new to Manifold, don't worry, if you bet on Other, your shares will automatically be transferred onto any new buckets split off, this is fine and normal).
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.387,4 €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 652.807,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3547,3 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2906,5 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 865.320,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2719,4 €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 915.253 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1382,5 €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.047,3 €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 46% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths? entschieden?
- 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of (suspected) deaths from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).