Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 17:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose20000-24999 22.9%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+1.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet20. Mai 26, 15:40 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
Manifold MarketsIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketCan the son do more push-ups than the father?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of the suspected case count at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).
- https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ituri_Province_Ebola_epidemic
- If the epidemic expands into a pandemic or continues into 2027, the market will be extended as necessary.
- The "Other" category means any case counts larger than the current buckets.
- I may add more higher buckets from the "Other" category as necessary (if you're new to Manifold, don't worry, if you bet on Other, your shares will automatically be transferred onto any new buckets split off, this is fine and normal).
