KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Before Oct 1, 2026 (86%)
Entschieden: 24.09.2026, 19:34
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 24.09.2026, 18:57 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Before Oct 1, 202686%
Before Nov 1, 202649%
Before Dec 1, 2026Verloren
Before Jan 1, 2027Verloren
Before Nov 1, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 1, 2026Gewonnen
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
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KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiTrump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. formally eliminate the tariff on Irish whiskey by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketMakro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.