KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Nov 1, 2026 71%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
171,2 €
Liquidität
2231,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 0:481. Okt. 26, 3:59
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.
Offene Märkte
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Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Nov 1, 2026 mit 71% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? entschieden?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.