Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85%
Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet13. Aug. 25, 01:25 UTC4. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.
- I will not trade in any of my markets going forward.
Offene Märkte
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.567,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9370,7 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6086,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4317,4 €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1139,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1139,4 €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? entschieden?
- Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? soll am 4. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria obvious, if he does it YES (and we definitely will hear about it), if midterms come and no rebate specifically sourced according to him from the tariffs resolves NO.