KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Disney+ 94%Führend unter 20 Optionen
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
64,4 €
Liquidität
11.356,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
19. Juni 26, 14:00 UTC15. Feb. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be in ARTIFICIAL, the movie about OpenAI and the firing and rehiring of Sam Altman
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiRegeln
If Zyn airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Governing League
- A qualifying advertisement includes any commercial featuring the brand, sponsorship segments clearly identifying the brand (e.g., "This halftime show brought to you by..."), or branded content integration with prominent display.
- The ad must occur after kickoff and before regulation time (or overtime if any) ends.
- Stadium signage without dedicated airtime, pre-game ads, post-game ads, streaming-only ads, regional ads, and parent company ads without specific brand identification do not qualify.
- Co-branded advertisements with equal billing count as qualifying.
- If Temu airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 241.307,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 128.006,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 349.424,1 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which brands will advertise during the Big Game??
- Kalshi bewertet Disney+ mit 94% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? entschieden?
- Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? soll am 15. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which brands will advertise during the Big Game? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Zyn airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Big Game broadcast, then the market resolves to Yes.