KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 15.09.2026, 11:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kimi 0%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC18. Sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Open Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiOpen Source market share on Sep 16th
KalshiUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsWill it take <=12 months for open-source AI forecasting to go from consistently worse than humans to broadly superhuman?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 70.257,4 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54.438,7 €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.907 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.907 €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 20.903,9 €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Top Open Source AI this week?
- Kalshi bewertet Kimi mit 0% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Top Open Source AI this week entschieden?
- Top Open Source AI this week soll am 18. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Top Open Source AI this week abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.