KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Pete Hegseth 36%-38.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Pete Hegseth 36%-38.0ptMarktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
503,4 €
Open Interest
6968,5 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
28.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
28. Sept. 26, 20:00 UTC20. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office in 2026?
PredictItWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItWhen will Trump leave office as President?
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump leave office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump leave office early?
PredictItRegeln
If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Defense at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. The person who held the position at market issuance must be the one who leaves (not a successor). Officials can leave office through resignation, firing, removal, impeachment and removal, or any other process by which they cease to hold the position. A change in the name of an office, including renaming the Secretary of Defense as the Secretary of War, does not constitute leaving that position. The first official to leave triggers resolution for all markets in the set - the one who left resolves to Yes, all others resolve to No. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Pete Hegseth
- If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Defense at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kash Patel
- If the individual holding the title of Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Health and Human Services at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
