PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 61%
Nein 61%Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
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24h-Volumen
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
18. Dez. 25, 15:59 UTC24. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Trump leave office as President?
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump leave office?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
Manifold MarketsWill a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
KalshiWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurRegeln
Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 01/06/2026.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Donald Trump resigns from, is removed from, or otherwise vacates the office of, President of the United States, prior to the regularly scheduled end of his term.
A circumstance in which the Vice President or another individual serves as acting president due to a temporary incapacitation of the President, such as when under anesthesia, shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Supplementary Comment(s)
Created On: 01/06/2026 4:55 PM (ET)In response to trader inquiry: In the event that President Trump does not remain President through the regularly scheduled end of his current term on January 20, 2029, this market shall resolve to Yes.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Donald Trump resigns from, is removed from, or otherwise vacates the office of, President of the United States, prior to the regularly scheduled end of his term.
A circumstance in which the Vice President or another individual serves as acting president due to a temporary incapacitation of the President, such as when under anesthesia, shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Supplementary Comment(s)
Created On: 01/06/2026 4:55 PM (ET)In response to trader inquiry: In the event that President Trump does not remain President through the regularly scheduled end of his current term on January 20, 2029, this market shall resolve to Yes.
