2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
6.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20265Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
125 million and above · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
125 million and above 26.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
125 million and above 26.5%Marktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4969,1 €
Open Interest
81.598,8 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
125 million and aboveSpread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 34 Minuten
21. Feb. 26, 21:00 UTC31. März 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 125 million and above
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Manifold MarketsIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
KalshiRegeln
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 125 million and above
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is at least 125,000,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 115 to 119.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 120 to 124.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 120,000,000 and 124,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 110 to 114.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 110,000,000 and 114,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 105 to 109.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 105,000,000 and 109,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 104.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 100,000,000 and 104,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95 to 99.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 95,000,000 and 99,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Less than 90 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90 to 94.99 million
- If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 90,000,000 and 94,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — 2026 Midterms: House Turnout · 115-120m 26%