If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
US PoliticsWahl3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose0-0.5% 69.7%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet12. Juli 25, 12:54 UTC3. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House Turnout
Polymarket2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
KalshiRegeln
If the party does not end up being created, this market will resolve n/a.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.3pt100%
- $25M+0.2pt100%
- $50M+1.2pt100%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 417.972,2 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+16.0pt82%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+7.0pt75%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.6pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt14%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+6.0pt59.2%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt40.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 217.416,4 €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 0-0.5% mit 70% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? entschieden?
- If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the party does not end up being created, this market will resolve n/a.