If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?

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Manifold Markets bewertet 0-0.5% mit 69.7% (Stand: 29. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? entschieden?

If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.

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POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party93%
• Republican Party-0.5pt7%

Gesamtvolumen

25,7 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

3,6 Mio. €

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.5pt

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.3pt91.3%
• Republican Party-0.2pt8.9%

Gesamtvolumen

72 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Gesamtvolumen

45,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt6.9%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase-5.0pt76.2%
• No change+6.0pt21.8%
• 50+ bps increase-0.6pt2%

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