PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitOther 46%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
8962,2 €
Liquidität
328.101,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+3.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
19. Feb. 26, 0:293. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Other46%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
1.0%1J
-1.0%15%
+2.0%19%
+1.0%28%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
60 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen3839,2 €
24h-Volumen162 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.