KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Stephen Miran 14%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
94.137,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
6.8 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
5. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
KalshiJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiLisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?
PolymarketLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Library of Congress
- The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 96,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5,4 Mio. €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37,4 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 384.062 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 80.351,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Stephen Miran mit 14% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? entschieden?
- Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.