GeminiKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore January 01, 2027 46.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1298,5 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 48.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
8. Apr. 26, 19:472. Jan. 27, 4:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before January 01, 202747%
Plattformen vergleichen· Before January 01, 2027
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt83% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 46% | — | 2100,3 € | 86.763,7 € | vor 20 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| GeminiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 47% | — | 1298,5 € | 0 € | vor 20 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
5.5 pts5Mon
+1.5pt46.9%
-0.5pt13.3%
-5.5pt11.2%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
75 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen125.614,9 €
24h-Volumen2100,3 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1.5k27. Juli2T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,5 Mio. €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
678.255,4 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
503.642,9 €August 31: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
104.589,8 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
44.239,9 €Above 50: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
20.860,9 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.