GeminiKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 13.09.2026, 06:55 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before January 01, 2027 12.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2166,7 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
8. Apr. 26, 19:47 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027?
ForecastExWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? · No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 80%