FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%
Nein 92%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
644,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2020s (2020-2029)
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2028
Manifold MarketsNo (other) country leaves the European Union (EU) in the 2020s
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketFrance declares state of emergency by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether the European Union will block access to X (formerly Twitter) across one or more EU member states at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, blocking means a legally enforced restriction preventing general public access to the platform.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official EU or member-state government announcements or enforcement actions confirming such a block.
- If the EU or its member states legally block access to X during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary outages or voluntary service changes will not count.