Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 61.1%
Tahminciler
43
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Kas 23 07:37 UTC18 Kas 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Andrew Tate be sentenced to several years in a British prison?
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWhich UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in August
KalshiKurallar
"Things will basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years and those worries are overstated ", from https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hc9nMipTXy2sm3tJb/vote-on-interesting-disagreements
- No strict criteria.
- Resolves to my or a resolution council's judgment if there's any disagreement, resolution should agree with the consensus if there is one.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺86,4 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-3.0pt58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,3 B
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes22%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺409,3 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺371,4 B
- Recession this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 18 Kasım 2028.
- Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: "Things will basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years and those worries are overstated ", from https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hc9nMipTXy2sm3tJb/vote-on-interesting-disagreements