Güncel topluluk tahmini
No UBI 75.8%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli29 Ara 23 02:33 UTC1 Oca 40 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?
Manifold MarketsIf the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in August
KalshiKurallar
UBI Policy Levels:
- Utopian: Equal to or greater than the top 90% annual income in 2023.
- Median: Equal to the median national income in 2023.
- Minimum Wage: Equal to the legal minimum wage in 2023.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves positively for the first universal basic income (UBI) scenario that most closely matches the policy officially adopted in the US or UK (after a 'resolves after' condition is met).
Açık piyasalar
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺86,5 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺429,2 B
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.0pt34.6%
- 0.1%-2.5pt9.6%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI in September
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- August Inflation China - Annual
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No UBI için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Which UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2040.
- Which UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: UBI Policy Levels: