Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 89.6%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Tem 23 06:26 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Lake Kivu erupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least 85% of one 1000-word passage by 2030?
Manifold MarketsMount Spurr significant eruption by date?
Manifold MarketsWill a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiKurallar
Mount Vesuvius is in an extended period of inactivity, having not erupted since 1944.
- This market resolves YES if, before 01/01/2030, there is an eruption there of 1 or higher on the Volcanic Explosivity Index
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+1.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-29.5pt48%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027-0.1pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺160,1 B
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Mount Vesuvius is in an extended period of inactivity, having not erupted since 1944.