Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
After 2028 94.1%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Mar 25 05:16 UTC31 Oca 29 21:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsMajor volcano eruption in 2026?
KalshiMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PolymarketVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketEtna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves according to https://www.usgs.gov/programs/VHP/volcano-updates
- Mount Spurr is an active stratovolcano located in the Aleutian Range of Alaska, about 80 miles (130 km) west of Anchorage.
- Its most recent significant eruptions occurred in 1953 and a series of three eruptions in 1992 (June 27, August 18, and September).
- The 1992 eruptions affected Anchorage with ashfall, particularly the August 18 event.
- Scientists at the Alaska Volcano Observatory have recently noted increased activity at Mount Spurr, suggesting a potential eruption in the coming weeks or months.
- The volcano is monitored closely due to its proximity to Anchorage, Alaska's largest city.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+1.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-29.5pt48%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027-0.1pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺160,1 B
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Mount Spurr significant eruption by date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla After 2028 için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- Mount Spurr significant eruption by date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Mount Spurr significant eruption by date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ocak 2029.
- Mount Spurr significant eruption by date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves according to https://www.usgs.gov/programs/VHP/volcano-updates