Güncel ima edilen olasılık
4.4-4.6m 76%+14.3pt7 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
69 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺73,5 B
Likidite
₺487,8 B
Orta likiditeSpread
1.2 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
6
7g Değişim
-22.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Kas 25 23:46 UTC1 Eki 26 00:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026
KalshiWhich Arctic sea ice minimum thresholds will be crossed by October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsArctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026?
Futuur(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsAntarctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2027?
FutuurWill the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
- This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
- Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 4.4-4.6m için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2026.
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.