Us market crash in 2026?
FedOne-OffEkonomiMacro & EconomyEquitiesUS PoliticsBusiness & CorporateTrade Policy3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91%
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32
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
10 Oca 26 06:42 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsWill there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in Nov 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- A market crash is generally defined as a decline of 20% or more in the S&P 500 index.
- This market resolves YES if the S&P 500 closes at or below 5,476 points at any time during 2026 (a 20% decline from the 6,845.5 closing level at the end of 2025).
- Resolution will be verified using the S&P 500 historical data from FRED or MarketWatch S&P 500 tracker.
- The S&P 500 rose 16.39% in 2025, extending a strong bull market.
- The CAPE ratio has been hovering in the 39-40 range recently and closed 2025 slightly above 40, which is only the second time in the history of the market that this valuation gauge has surpassed 40.
Açık piyasalar
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺146,6 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-1.0pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.3%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.2%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,6 Mn
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.8pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.1pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Us market crash in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- Us market crash in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Us market crash in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Us market crash in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria