Güncel topluluk tahmini
2027-2028 34%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Eki 25 18:11 UTC1 Oca 36 19:07 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Us market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a Trump economic boom?
KalshiUS economic recession in 2026?
FutuurKurallar
Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the calendar date of the S&P 500’s last all‑time closing high (price index) immediately preceding the next “bubble burst,” defined as a ≥35% peak‑to‑trough decline in the S&P 500 closing level that is reached within 18 months and occurs in a window spanning from 6 months before to 12 months after the official start month of the next U.S. recession as dated by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee.
- The qualifying peak date is the resolution date.
- Data sources: NBER recession dates and announcements; S&P 500 daily close on FRED.
- Measurement details: use the S&P 500 price index daily close (no dividends), peak and trough measured on closing values, and the drawdown threshold is calculated as (trough_close − peak_close) / peak_close ≤ −35% within 18 months of the peak.
- If multiple peaks satisfy the criteria for the same recession window, resolve to the earliest qualifying peak date.
Açık piyasalar
CryptoKALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,486.84 target
- Yes99%
- No1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺81,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,2 Mn
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.7pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-8.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺23,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,6 Mn
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above98%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺61,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
- What price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will the next big economic crash occur? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027-2028 için 34% fiyatlıyor.
- When will the next big economic crash occur? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will the next big economic crash occur? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2036.
- When will the next big economic crash occur? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria