Manifold Markets
Herkesin, asla nakde çevrilemeyen sanal bir para birimi olan mana kullanarak piyasa oluşturup işlem yapabileceği bir oyun parası tahmin piyasası. Katılmak için kimlik kontrolü gerekmez.
Manifold Markets sitesine gitKullanılabilirlik
Tahmin veya sanal para kaynağıdır; işlem uygunluğu değerlendirmesi uygulanmaz.
KYC / Kimlik
Kimlik doğrulaması gerekmiyor
Yöntem ve erişim
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Uzlaşma para birimi
Mana (play money)
Piyasa türü
Limit orders + AMM (CPMM)
Canlı istatistikler
Açık piyasalar34.476
Toplam piyasalar49.957
Katılımcılar965.487
Soru başına ort. tahminci19.8
Piyasa başına ort. sonuç4.0
Sonuçlanma oranı31%
Son güncelleme21 Eki 2026 4:49
En İyi Kategoriler
1. One-Off31349 Açık piyasalar
2. Siyaset6268 Açık piyasalar
3. US Politics5376 Açık piyasalar
4. YZ5312 Açık piyasalar
5. Teknoloji5022 Açık piyasalar
Sonuçlanma geçmişi
12,186 sonuçlanmış piyasa · başlangıç: 2022 · 100% sağlayıcı zaman damgalı
CoinRithm üzerinde keşfet
İlgili okumalar
Açık piyasalar
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
- 10 traders in 10 days (April 26)100%
- 20 traders in 20 days (May 6)100%
- 30 traders in 125 days (August 19)100%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺717,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺116 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
- 1M-10M-2.6pt22.7%
- <10K (includes negative numbers)19.7%
- 10M-100M-14.0pt18.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,3 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
- 2028-2.3pt11.1%
- 2027-3.1pt10.2%
- 2026-0.7pt10%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,7 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETS(Week 4) NHL 2026-27 Mega-Market: All Games 🏒
- Sharks beat Canadiens (10/20)100%
- Kings beat Capitals (10/20)100%
- Maple Leafs beat Blue Jackets (10/20)100%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will I reach 100 pounds?
- Before Aug 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before May 2027+48.0pt98%
- Before Feb 2027+11.7pt90.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺43 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,3 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
- Arthur100%
- Bertha100%
- Cristobal100%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺219,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,2 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSAs of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
- Ardian32.8%
- Apollo-1.7pt6.5%
- Lexington-1.1pt2.5%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGas Price on October 26
- 4.1999 or more?-42.0pt48%
- 4.2199 or more?-57.0pt23%
- 4.2399 or more?-46.0pt12%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺197,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺92,8 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich results will happen during Week 8 of the College Football Season?
- Delaware defeats Missouri State+40.9pt99.9%
- Miami (FL) defeats Pittsburgh92%
- UConn defeats UMass85%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺136,9 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺133,1 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat percent of people will be micro-chipped by 2040?
- 0%14.7%
- 100%-3.9pt13.4%
- 1%7.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be elected President of France in the 2027 presidential election?
- Marine Le Pen-34.7pt48.4%
- Édouard Philippe+10.1pt18.1%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+7.8pt10.2%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺37,7 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺10,8 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index?
- October 2026+33.1pt59.6%
- November 2026-19.2pt19.4%
- December 2026-11.1pt7.2%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺262,4 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,3 B
- In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?
- Barcelona VS Real Madrid | Laliga | 25 October 2026
- What will be the most streamed song on Spotify this week?
- Who will headline the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show?
- If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
- SF Supervisor D8 Election: Manny Yekutiel First round position?
- Which player will lead the league in receiving yards in the 2026 regular season?
- Who will win Best Actor at the 2027 Academy Awards?
- How many Falcon 9/Heavy launches will SpaceX conduct in October 2026?
- Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
- What will Elon Musk do in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Which Nov 2026 California ballot propositions will pass?
- US Average Gas Price on October 26 2026?
- (Week 7) NFL 2026 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide 🏈
- When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?
- Who will win the 2026 US Women’s Chess Championship?
- Which team will win the WNBA championship this season?
- Who will be the next Patriarch of Moscow and all Rus' after Kirill?
- Who will be the next Mayor of Croydon?
- Who will be my most streamed Spotify artist in October 2026?
- 2026/27 UEFA Champions League Top 8
- Which season will I be back in the Masters League?
- When will next codex reset occur?
- Which words will Trump say out loud between midterm election night (Nov 3, 7 PM ET) and Nov 5, 2026?
- What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?
- Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Georgia's 7th District?
- Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?
- Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
- F1 2026 Prop Bets United States 🇺🇸 (Austin, Circuit of the Americas) Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
- Australia vs New Zealand Test Series Megamarket
- For which of the Millennium Prize Problems will the Million Dollars be taken ?
- NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
- When will the next Avengers film release?
- What will TSMC market cap be at the end of 2027?
- First House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
- What year will Earthblade be released?
- Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
- Price of gas on Election Day?
- New wave of mobilization in Russia announced when?
- Which of these websites/apps will be sold or cease to exist by end of 2028? [Add answers]
- Elon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
- October 2026 AI model releases
- Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
- Which NFL teams will have 12 or more wins in the 2026-2027 regular season?
- Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
- Which NFL team will be the last to suffer a loss in the 2026-2027 season? (Last undefeated team)
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime by which date?
- What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
- 2026-2027 Calder Trophy
- When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
- Will the number of holders on this option (for each individual option) be...
- What will be the Top EU company by market cap at the end of 2026?
- Higher finish (Head-to-Head) League Stage 2026/27 UEFA Champions League
- How many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
- Who will win the Ballon D’Or 2026?
- When Anthropic will release Jev/DecisionAPI alternative?
- MLB Season Prop Bets
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
- Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
- Best Prompt Engineering News Source (Permanent)
- (Week 1) NBA 2026-27 Mega-Market: All Games 🏀
- Who will be the next White House Press Secretary?
- Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
- Maine Senate Margin of Victory?
- When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
- Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- Taylor Swift @ Kansas City Chiefs Game Tracker
- Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
- What will be the outcome of British Columbia's 2026 provincial election?
- Which sports will @ManifoldSports automate before 2027?
- When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for doing so?
- Which country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
- Who will win Nuevo Leon's 2027 Gubernatorial Election?
- What will be the next year North Carolina votes for a Democratic presidential candidate?
- Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
- What month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
- Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Virginia's 5th District?
- Fed decision in March
- On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
- Which week will Anthropic's IPO prospectus (Form S-1) go public on SEC EDGAR?
- How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
- Will Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
- Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia provincial election?
- How many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
- NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
- 3rd largest company end of October 2026?
- Which teams will be relegated after the 2026/27 Premier League season?
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