Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 62.2%
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Ağu 26 23:03 UTC31 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Daniel Lord announce meeting vanlife girl before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
- Rules & Edge Cases:
- "Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
- Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺43,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺43,7 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺52,2 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.2%
- 200-219+6.0pt23.3%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.4%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.1pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.2pt11.1%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.6pt10.2%
+25 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.6pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 62% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ekim 2026.
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria