Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Paul Mescal 33%+3.7pt49 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺38,2 B
Likidite
₺460,6 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
15.7% / 22.8%
Spread
7.1 pt
Geniş spread7g Değişim
-3.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce guncellendi
18 May 26 23:0331 Ara 26 0:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Paul Mescal33%
Platformları karşılaştır· Paul Mescal
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%82 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Orta | 41% | — | ₺89,1 B | ₺35,4 Mn | 11 dakika önce | Aç → |
 PolymarketEn aktif%82 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 0% | — | ₺606,3 B | ₺0 | 25 gün önce | Aç → |
| PolymarketBu sayfa | Düşük | 33% | — | ₺38,2 B | ₺460,6 B | 11 dakika önce | |
 Manifold Markets%82 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 38% | — | — | — | 27 gün önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsKapalı
Sonuçlandı
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺185,8 Mn
24s Hacim₺606,3 B
POLYMARKETKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
3y
41%
21%
16%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
74 • Orta kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺65,5 Mn
24s Hacim₺89,1 B
KALSHIManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2y
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini29 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — No6 gün önce
KALSHITom Holland — No6 gün önce$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yes10 gün önce
KALSHICallum Turner — Yes10 gün önce$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No12 gün önce
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — No12 gün önce$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — No12 gün önce
KALSHIRichard Madden — No12 gün önce$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No12 gün önce
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — No12 gün önceHacim trendi
$8072 Tem26g veri27 Tem
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.