Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiZohran Mamdani 25.9%+0.1pt50 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
280
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Kas 25 19:39 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
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KalshiKurallar
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 27%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 30%