Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiZohran Mamdani 27.1%-2.3pt49 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
214
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-1.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
30 Kas 25 19:39 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 30%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 30%
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Zohran Mamdani için 27% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket, Futuur, Kalshi.