Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
YZ3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiExactly one person 51.6%7 seçenek arasında lider
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12
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Guncelligini yitirmis11 Ara 25 07:48 UTC11 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
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All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.
- If there are multiple versions of the cover, an appearance on any one version of the cover is sufficient for YES.
- A straightforward non-photographic depiction (painting, caricature, AI-generated image, etc) is sufficient for YES if it's clear to me from the depiction itself who (or what) is being depicted.
- Abstract artistic representations won't qualify as an appearance of any real thing, but can be submitted as explicit answers.
- For example, a glowing floating brain with circuit traces probably qualifies for YES on "[an abstract representation of Artificial Intelligence]".
- For these, my interpretation of the image will be influenced by the headline and article contents.
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
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+3 daha fazla sonuç
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- December 15,86%
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+7 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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- 1480+-5.5pt66%
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+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Exactly one person için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Aralık 2026.
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.