Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Zohran Mamdani 26.2%-1.9pt20 seçenek arasında lider
Zohran Mamdani 26.2%-1.9ptTahminciler
330
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
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13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Ara 25 16:45 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of the Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If you would like to add a new candidate or consolidated answer to the market, submit it in a comment below.
- If a comment gets enough support, I'll open the market to submissions so that you can add it, and you'll get a bonus.
- Note that all consolidated answers must be mutually exclusive, so no more specific or general versions of existing options.
- The goal is to cleanly divide the probabilistic landscape into non-overlapping categories.