Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEric Lucan 61%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Haz 26 16:583 Kas 26 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.
- At this stage, it is a near certainty that both candidates will move on to the run-off election on November 3, 2026.
- To cover the unlikely possibility that one of the two candidates is not certified to move on to the run-off election, this market offers a third choice "Other."
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the November 3, 2026 general election for the California State Assembly District 12 seat.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.1pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺198,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺120,3 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Gavin Newsom13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺36,8 Mn
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 1 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Eric Lucan için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2026.
- Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.