Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEric Lucan 61%3 seçenek arasında lider
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4
Soru türü
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
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8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Haz 26 16:58 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district
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the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.
- At this stage, it is a near certainty that both candidates will move on to the run-off election on November 3, 2026.
- To cover the unlikely possibility that one of the two candidates is not certified to move on to the run-off election, this market offers a third choice "Other."
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the November 3, 2026 general election for the California State Assembly District 12 seat.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
