Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Geopolítica
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes
Resolvido: 28 de nov. de 2023, 07:47
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 122 dias
Desatualizado22/11/23, 20:2231/12/23, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 17,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Volume total
- € 8,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 285,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 51,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 230,6 mil
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days??
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 100% em 25 de abril de 2026.
- Quando Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? é resolvido?
- Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2023.
- Como Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours).