PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 99%-0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
165,5 €
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
0.5% / 1.8%
Spread
1.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
13/01/26, 23:17 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill democrats win the senate and lose the house?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWill Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.