PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualNão 94.1%
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,4 €
Liquidez
505,3 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-4.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
13/01/26, 23:173/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes6%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral65% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 94% | +88pt | 4,4 € | 17,1 mil € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baixa | 95% | +89pt | 4,4 € | 505,3 € | há 15 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
4.7 pts5m
94%
-4.7pt6%
62 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total34,2 mil €
Volume 24h4,4 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$58 de jul.17d de dados28 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.