Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
0.1 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 98%-0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
16,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
97.5% / 98.3%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
+7.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
15/11/25, 00:18 UTC3/11/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
The 2026 midterm elections for the US House of Representatives is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the House of Representatives for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US House of Representatives as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election.
- The loss of particular district seats will not count towards a resolution for this market; only the total number of seats held by the Republican Party in a given state will be considered.