If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 96.4%
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado13/01/24, 05:59 UTC31/12/26, 05:59 UTC
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If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?
- This market will resolve YES if the 2025 democracy index for the United States released by the EIU is higher than 7.85, NO if it's less than or equal to 7.85
- Resolves NA if Trump didnt win the 2024 presidential election
- Economic Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index
- Compare the price against this market to estimate if Trump will worsen Democracy in the US
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/if-biden-won-the-election-will-the)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? é resolvido?
- If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?