KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1 97%Líder entre 8 opções
Before Jan 1 97%Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
19,4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 51 minutos
Atrasado20/08/26, 14:00 UTC4/11/26, 04:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
KalshiWhen will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWill Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 11
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 4AM Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 4AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 1AM Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 1AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 11PM Nov 3
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. House majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.