KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Nov 4 40%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
62,8 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
20/08/26, 14:00 UTC4/11/26, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Regras
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner.
- The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication.
- If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time.
- Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- A Kalshi cota Before Nov 4 em 40% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? é resolvido?
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de novembro de 2026.
- Como When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.