KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Dec 3 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Before Dec 3 94.5%Líder entre 10 opções
Before Dec 3 94.5%Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
58 €
Contratos em aberto
2,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Before Dec 3Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
20/08/26, 14:00 UTC5/11/26, 05:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Dec 3
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who during, the next Congress, will call on the next Senate to eliminate or limit the filibuster? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWhen will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastEx[RESOLVES JANUARY 31] Will the Senate majority leader and speaker of the house both be Democrats after the 2026 midterms
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Dec 3
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Dec 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 5
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 19
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 7
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 5
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 4AM Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 4AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 1AM Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 1AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 4
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 11PM Nov 3
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
