PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%
Qualidade do mercado
70 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidez
58,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
2.1% / 2.2%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
26
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
18/03/26, 00:50 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
- Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities.
- The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
- The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
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- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
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POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran legalize gay marriage??
- A Polymarket cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran legalize gay marriage? é resolvido?
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Iran legalize gay marriage? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.