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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Commodities
  3. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

CommoditiesOne-OffGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 26%
Qualidade do mercado

60 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

47,6 €

Liquidez

11,3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

25.0% / 26.0%

Spread

4.0%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

28/04/26, 17:2031/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes26%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1.0%6m
Sim
Sim
+1.0%31%
Não
Não
69%
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total117 €
Volume 24h0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
  • Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,601.64+1.73%EthereumETH$1,652.38+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.00%BNBBNB$595.43+1.28%XRPXRP$1.12-0.33%

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Regras

On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
  • Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.