FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 85%
Não 85%Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezTraders
5
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill any country leave NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave the 1967 protocol of the Geneva convention on refugees by dec 31st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This event predicts whether any member country will formally announce its withdrawal from the OPEC or OPEC+ alliance by December 31, 2026 (inclusive), after the United Arab Emirates’ exit from this group.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or statements by the withdrawing country or by OPEC confirming a member’s departure.
- If any country officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC or OPEC+ during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary non-compliance with production quotas, disputes, or informal statements will not count as a departure.
- If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international energy news organizations.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
4 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência entre plataformas da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 7%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 8 pontos percentuais.
Referencia CoinRithm 7% · 4 plataformas · 8 pt de dispersao entre venues
