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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Commodities
  3. Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1.0% (24h)CommoditiesYearlyGeopolíticaMacro & Economy6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 31%+1.0%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

44 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

31.0% / 35.0%

Spread

12.9%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

28/04/26, 15:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes31%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

0.5%6m
Sim
Sim
+0.0%26%
Não
Não
74%
60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total91,4 mil €
Volume 24h91 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

Mercados Relacionados

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

0 €
Sim: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

136,4 €
Above $6.00: 14%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

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Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

58 €
Sim: 35%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will gas prices in California get this year?

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

21,6 €
Above $7.20: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%HyperliquidHYPE$54.74-0.74%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%

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Regras

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
  • Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments