KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 76%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
24.0% / 28.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
28/04/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
KalshiOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill any country leave NATO by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill a country leave NATO this year?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFrance 24 EnglishThe GuardianNBC NewsThe Times of IndiaFox NewsCBS NewsABC NewsThe Wall Street JournalNHK World-JapanCNNThe New York TimesBBC NewsThe Globe and MailAl Jazeera Englishthe Associated PressReutersThe South China Morning PostPoliticoChannel NewsAsiaBloomberg News
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Comparação de fontes de previsão
3 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 26%. As cotações diferem cerca de 2 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 26% · 3 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 17, 2026?
- Above $95.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $96.49+33.0pt99%
- Above $94.99+11.0pt99%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 441,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 377,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+30 mais resultados
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.4600+15.0pt99%
- Above 4.3800+4.0pt99%
- Above 4.4000+19.0pt99%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,364.81 target
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- € 161 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.445099%
- Above 4.455099%
- Above 4.410099%
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 100,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 100,7 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt22%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt21%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt19%
+7 mais resultados
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
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- Michigan gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Diesel prices this week
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will another country leave OPEC in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 76% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur, Limitless, Polymarket.